World Series of Poker Supercomputer Predicts Winner

ACN Staff
Jul 8
2 min read

OLBG’s World Series of Poker Supercomputer runs 10,000 simulations to predict Jesse Lonis as the 2025 Main Event favorite—see who else could take the crown!

World Series of Poker Supercomputer: Jesse Lonis favourite to claim 2025 title ahead of Phil Ivey and Artur Matirosyan

OLBG’s World Series of Poker Supercomputer has revealed Jesse Lonis as the favourite to win the Main Event which reaches its climax on July 16.

Superstar Phil Ivey is tipped to come second ahead of Arthur Martirosyan and Tony Lin.

A total of 10,000 simulations revealed the average earnings Lonis is expected to earn - more than $3 million. But he has his eyes on the first-place prize of $10,000m which he will rake in if he triumphs at the end of the two weeks.

Here is a breakdown of each of the top players’ chances, according to the OLBG Casino supercomputer:

World Series of Poker Supercomputer: Jesse Lonis favourite to claim 2025 title ahead of Phil Ivey and Artur Matirosyan

Player	Expected Earnings	Chance 1st (%)	Chance 2nd (%)	Chance 3rd (%)
Jesse Lonis	$3,021,870.00	10.86	9.95	9.48
Phil Ivey	$2,722,065.00	9.02	9.49	8.94
Artur Martirosyan	$2,538,695.00	8.66	8.25	8.18
Tony Lin	$2,518,940.00	8.55	7.80	7.92
William Alex Foxen	$2,467,110.00	8.06	8.22	7.89
Phil Helmuth	$1,791,865.00	5.50	5.62	5.13
Mikita Bodyakovsky	$1,584,510.00	4.73	4.71	4.99
Jeremy Ausmus	$1,568,585.00	4.39	4.79	4.95
Kristen Foxen	$1,565,400.00	4.72	4.56	4.77
Nick Schulman	$1,559,970.00	4.71	4.67	4.65
Stephen Chidwick	$1,558,000.00	4.42	4.90	4.58
Punnat Punsri	$1,542,960.00	4.52	4.50	4.81
Adam Hendrix	$1,535,985.00	4.51	4.48	4.50
Roman Hrabec	$1,535,630.00	4.23	4.74	4.85
Brock Wilson	$1,532,670.00	4.45	4.57	4.88
Stephen Song	$1,503,950.00	4.32	4.37	4.70
Mathew Frankland	$1,501,795.00	4.35	4.38	4.78

Prize breakdown:

1st: $10,000,000
2nd: $6,000,000
3rd: $4,000,000
4th: $3,000,000
5th: $2,500,000
6th: $2,000,000
7th: $1,500,000
8th: $1,250,000
9th: $1,000,000

How does the Supercomputer work?

The calculations were made using the market odds provided and the prize fund from 1^st to 10^th.

Shown are the results of 10,000 simulations using the inverted market odds for each person.

The expected earnings are calculated by summing the total amount of money won over 10,000 simulations for finishing between 1^st and 10^th, and then dividing by the number of simulations.